Tag: Long rains

  • Heavy rains expected as long rains season reaches peak

    Heavy rains expected as long rains season reaches peak

    April marks the peak month of the “Long Rains” season, and the Weatherman is warning of heavy rainfall across the country.

    The monthly outlook released by the Kenya Meteorological Department indicates that “near-to above-average rainfall is expected across most parts of the country,” says the statement by the director of Meteorological Services Dr. David Gikungu.

    Gikungu says that the Lake Victoria Basin, Highlands West of the Rift Valley, the Rift Valley, Highlands East of the Rift Valley and Nairobi, South-Eastern Lowlands, Northwestern and parts of Northeastern Kenya are likely to receive enhanced rainfall. The

    He notes that the Coastal region and the remaining part of Northeastern Kenya, are expected to experience near-average rainfall. “Isolated episodes of heavy rainfall are likely to occur in various parts of the country during the month,” he says and adds, “Warmer than average temperatures are also anticipated over the whole country.”

    The Weatherman is warning of a possibility of isolated storms occurring, which could result in flash and riverine floods in poorly drained urban centers, along rivers over the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, Nairobi County, the Lake Victoria Basin, South Rift, the Southeastern lowlands, and the low-lying areas of northern Kenya.

    “The public is advised not to walk, drive, or cycle in moving waters to avoid risks that could lead to loss of life,” further warning of anticipated landslides in the high-risk areas over the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley.

    Dr. Gikungu is warning of the possibility of lightning strikes over the Lake Victoria Basin, western parts of the country, and parts of the South Rift Valley, notably in areas such as Kisii, Kisumu, Nandi, Kakamega, Narok, and Bungoma, “the public are cautioned against seeking shelter from the rain under trees or near metallic structures.”

    Among the risks associated with increased rainfall is the possibility of an increase in water and vector-borne diseases, especially over the Lake Victoria Basin, “as stagnant water coupled with warmer than average temperatures are likely to provide breeding grounds for mosquitoes and other pathogens,” warns Dr. Gikungu and adds that, “the public are encouraged to use insect-treated nets and embrace Water and Sanitation Hygiene (WASH) practices in order to minimize their exposure to diseases.”

    The long rains peak month could also lead to slippery roads and poor visibility, during days with heavy rainfall and motorists are being advised “to be careful on the roads to minimize accidents.”

    The near to above-average rainfall expected over the high agricultural potential areas of the Highlands West and East of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, Central and South Rift Valley, and the Southeastern lowlands are conducive for agriculture.

    According to the Weatherman, pasture is expected to rejuvenate over the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs) of northern Kenya owing to the rainfall received towards the end of March with occasional rainfall expected in April which will further boost productivity in the drier areas.

     

     

  • Rains to resume at the end of the week

    Rains to resume at the end of the week

    The heavy rains, which have brought relief from the intense heat and humidity, have temporarily ceased.

    As the country prepares for the onset of the long rains season, the weatherman announced a brief break in rainfall across most parts this midweek, with rain expected to resume by the end of the week.

    According to the 7-day weather outlook for March 11–17, 2025, rainfall is forecasted over several regions, including the Highlands West and East of the Rift Valley, Nairobi, the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley, the South-eastern Lowlands, the Coast, and parts of Northwestern and Northeastern Kenya.

    “Rainfall intensity will reduce midweek but increase again towards the end of the period. Isolated heavy rainfall may occur at the start and at end of the forecast period”, the Kenya Meteorological Department says.

    It adds that daytime temperatures exceeding 30°C will be experienced at the Coast, Northeastern and Northwestern Kenya.

    Nighttime temperatures below 10°C will prevail in Highlands East of Rift, Central Rift Valley and Mt. Kilimanjaro region.

    The Igad Climate Predictions and Applications Center (ICPAC) has warned of heavy rainfall and heat stress in the Greater Horn of Africa

  • Flooding: Interior Ministry calls for enhanced safety measures, preparedness

    Flooding: Interior Ministry calls for enhanced safety measures, preparedness

    As heavy rains pound most parts of the country, the government is warning of an increased risk of flooding.

    The Ministry of Interior and National Administration is urging stakeholders to enhance flood-safety preparedness.

    The Ministry also announced that security measures are in place at all bus termini and other strategic locations to ensure the safe movement of vehicles and people, especially school children.

    “The heightened risk of flooding in multiple counties due to heavy rainfall calls for increased safety measures and preparedness”, it said in a statement.

    In a post on X, the ministry highlighted its focus on evacuations from riparian areas, buildings in high-density zones at greater risk of collapse due to substandard construction, and areas prone to landslides and mudslides.

    The Kenya Meteorological Department, on Saturday, March 8, issued a three-day heavy rainfall alert.

    In an advisory, the weatherman said heavy rains were expected in Nairobi and parts of the country, including the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley, Highlands West and East of the Rift Valley and the Southeastern lowlands on March 9, 2025.

    The heavy rainfall is likely to intensify to more than 30 millimeters in 24 hours and spread to part of Northwestern Kenya beginning on Monday.

    The advisory signed by the Director of Kenya Meteorological Department Dr. David Gikungu says that the rainfall is projected to reduce in intensity beginning on 11th March 2025.

    The areas of concern according to Dr. Gikungu includes the Counties of Narok, Kericho, Bomet, Homabay, Siaya, Migori, Busia, Kisumu, Kisii, Nyamira, Nandi, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Baringo, Nakuru, Trans-Nzoia, Uasin-Gishu, ElgeyoMarakwet, West-Pokot, Turkana, Marsabit, Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang’a, Kiambu, Nairobi, Machakos, and Kajiado.

    “Residents in all the mentioned areas are advised to be on the lookout for potential floods, flash floods and poor visibility,” he said.

    The March-April-May (MAM) 2025 “Long Rains” season indicates near to above-average rainfall.

     

  • Long rains season to begin earlier than anticipated

    Long rains season to begin earlier than anticipated

    The month of March marks the start of the long rains season, and the Kenya Meteorological Department says the onset of the rains could occur earlier than anticipated.

    The Weatherman is attributing the early onset in some parts of the country to a system known as the Madden Julianne Oscillation (MJO).

    This is a band of rain-bearing clouds that move across the tropical oceans and bring rainfall to the country. This effect is usually felt beginning in the second phase of the Madden Julianne Oscillation, expected in the second week of March, leading to an earlier onset to the season than the anticipated onset over some parts of the country.

    “The rainfall forecast for March 2025 is based on regression of Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) on the March rainfall as well as Sea Surface Temperature (SST) gradients,” says the Director of Kenya Meteorological Service Dr. David Gikungu and adds, “One of the features of interest is the Madden Julianne Oscillation (MJO), a band of convective clouds that moves across the tropical oceans and brings rainfall to the country when it is in phases two, three and part of phase four.”

    Dr. Gikungu says that it is expected that Madden Julian Oscillation will be in phase two from the second week of March “and is likely to lead to an earlier than anticipated onset over some parts of the country.

    The Weatherman says that the outlook for March 2025 indicates that near to above average rainfall is expected over the Lake Victoria Basin, the Highlands West of the Rift Valley, the Central and Southern Rift Valley, the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi County, the Southeastern lowlands, and isolated areas over Northeast and Northwest, near to below average rainfall is expected over the Coast, most of the Northeast and Northwestern regions.

    In the statement, Dr. Gikungu says that “temperature is expected to be warmer than average over the entire country with higher probabilities over the Northeast, Northwest, Highlands East of the Rift Valley including Nairobi County and parts of the Coast and Southeastern lowlands.”

    The onset for the Lake Victoria Basin, the Highlands West of the Rift Valley and the Central and South Rift Valley (Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira, Trans Nzoia, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, West Pokot, Nandi, Laikipia, Nakuru, Narok, Kericho, Bomet, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma and Busia): The onset of the long-rains season is expected from the second to third week of March.

    The North-Western Region of Turkana and Samburu Counties, the onset of the long-rains season is expected from the first to second week of April.

    The Highlands East of the Rift Valley and Central Kenya which includes the counties of Nairobi, Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang’a, Kiambu, Meru, Embu and Tharaka Nithi, the onset of the long-rains season is expected from the second to third week of March, which may be followed by a short dry spell.

    The North-Eastern Region in the counties of Mandera, Marsabit, Wajir, Garissa and Isiolo Counties, the onset is expected in the first to second weeks of April although “occasional rainfall is likely over a few areas from the second to third weeks of the month followed by a likely dry spell,” says Dr. Gikungu in the forecast and notes that, the expected rainfall amounts are likely to be near to below the long-term average for March “although parts of Mandera and Wajir that border Ethiopia and the southern parts of Marsabit may receive near to above average rainfall.”

    In the South-Eastern Lowlands of Kajiado, Kitui, Makueni, Machakos and Taita Taveta, the onset of the long-rains season is expected from the second to third week of March which may be followed by a short dry spell, while in the Coastal Strip’s counties of Mombasa, Tana River, Kilifi, Lamu and Kwale, the onset is expected during the fourth week of March to the first week of April over the South Coast and second to third week of April over the North coast.

    Among the anticipated impacts include; flash and riverine floods in poorly drained urban centers and along rivers, especially over the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, Nairobi, the Lake Victoria Basin, South Rift Valley, and the Southeastern lowlands. “Residents are advised not to walk, drive or cycle in moving waters to avoid loss of life,” says the weatherman.

    The health sector is being advised to stock up medicines to deal with an anticipated increase in vector borne diseases in areas that are expected to receive near to above average rainfall especially, “over the Lake Victoria Basin as stagnant water coupled with warmer than average temperatures are likely to provide breeding grounds for mosquitoes,” he notes.

    The Weatherman is urging motorists to be cautious as the rainfall could lead to slippery roads and poor visibility, especially on days with heavy rainfall. “Motorists are therefore advised to be careful on the roads to minimize accidents.”