Tag: Israel Iran War

  • Israel-Iran conflict disrupts Middle East flights

    Israel-Iran conflict disrupts Middle East flights

    Airlines have cancelled or rerouted flights to and from the Middle East, as the conflict between Israel and Iran raged.

    Qatar’s Doha airport, a critical hub in the region, halted operations on Monday, after Iran fired missiles at a US military base in the country, in what it said was retaliation for American strikes against its nuclear sites over the weekend.

    Flights were temporarily paused at Dubai airport in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the world’s busiest air terminal, as passengers were told to expect further delays and cancellations.

    More than a dozen airlines have cancelled flights to parts of the region after tension mounted in recent days.

    Air India said it was stopping all operations to the Middle East and flights to North America’s east coast and Europe. Japan Airlines announced the cancellation of flights from Tokyo to Doha.

    In recent years the Gulf region has become one of the world’s most important flight hubs.

    The airports in Dubai and Doha see nearly 400,000 travellers pass through on a daily basis. Another 80,000 passengers travel through the UAE’s other air hub, Abu Dhabi, every day.

    For many, these airports are a stopover point for longhaul flights between Europe and Asia or Australia.

    US President Donald Trump has announced a “complete and total” ceasefire between Israel and Iran on social media but both countries have yet to confirm it.

    Rob Liddle, a member of BBC staff stranded in Doha en route to Dhaka in Bangladesh, said late on Monday that hundreds of stranded passengers were trying to get food or bedding in the airport lounge while they waited to hear when flights would resume.

    There was fear when the missiles were reported to be coming in, he said. But following that, the atmosphere had been “calm”.

    Aviation consultant Tim Atkinson said situations like this tended to upend the rules, adding passengers and crew would now be stuck in Doha temporarily.

    “The closure of Qatar airspace will cause enormous disruption, not just to flights,” he said.

    “There is a fundamental interconnected nature of air travel. So when disruption begins, it spreads almost like wildfire.”

    These airspace closures and cancellations are likely to cause significant disruption across and beyond the region, according to aviation expert John Strickland.

    “Delays to flights because of following longer routings means more cost to the airlines because they are burning more fuel.” Mr Strickland said.

    “It can lead to an airline saying an aircraft is not available when it should be, and in particular crew, because crew are limited by legal rest requirements.”

    There is also the question of safety, said Mr Strickland. Many governments have advised against travel to parts of the region, which could force some travellers to cancel their flights.

    Decisions on whether to fly to certain destinations could be made on a “day-by-day basis” he said.

    According to data from aviation risk consultancy Osprey Flight Solutions, six commercial aircraft have been shot down unintentionally, with three near-misses, since 2001.

    Arguably the best known incident was in 2014, when Russian-backed forces in Ukraine shot down Malaysia Airlines Flight 17, killing all 298 people on board.

    Russian and Ukrainian airspace has already been closed to most airlines due to the conflict there, diverting even more flights to the Middle East, where they were now being “squeezed” into even smaller spaces, he added.

    The conflict in the Middle East has already led to the closure of huge swathes of crucial airspace.

    Since Israel launched its offensive, commercial flights have avoided flying over Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, Syria and Jordan.

    Roughly 1,400 flights pass through this key corridor between Asia and Europe – but they now either have to fly north over Turkey or south over Saudi Arabia.

  • Israelis emerge from shelters to devastation after Iran attacks

    Israelis emerge from shelters to devastation after Iran attacks

    Israelis emerge from shelters to devastation after Iran attacksFirst responders fanned out across Israel Sunday following fresh waves of Iranian missile strikes that left pockets of devastation in their wake — as the Islamic republic hit back after a US attack on its nuclear sites.

    In both Haifa and areas around Tel Aviv, the scenes were all too similar.

    Rubble filled streets at impact sites as the facades of apartment buildings were eviscerated by the falling projectiles, as rescue teams picked through the debris looking for people.

    In the Ramat Aviv neighbourhood near Tel Aviv, the mere skeletons of homes were left standing following the barrage, with the wooden frames visible amid a sea of debris.

    As the country was jolted awake by air raid sirens warning residents of air attacks, many in Ramat Aviv left their shelters later to discover the destruction.

    A man and woman embraced each other and cried.

    “Our entire house was destroyed — there’s nothing left,” said Aviad Chernichovsky, who had rushed out of his home to get to a shelter.

    Several elderly residents were placed on chairs and beds to allow for medical evacuation. One woman, injured in the face, appeared anxious as paramedics led her away from the rubble.

    Officials were still taking stock of the damage.

    “Houses here were hit very, very badly,” Tel Aviv mayor Ron Huldai said at the scene.

    “Those who were in the shelter are all safe and well. The damage is very, very extensive, but in terms of human life, we are okay.”

    – Devastating power –

    The Israeli police said in a statement that they had been deployed to at least two other impact sites, one in Haifa in the north and another in Ness Ziona, south of Tel Aviv.

    A public square in a residential area of Haifa was left strewn with rubble and surrounding shops and homes were heavily damaged.

    Palm trees withstood the impact in a small public garden, while storefronts were bent, shop windows shattered, and air conditioners left dangling from building facades.

    Sirens however did not sound in this area. Authorities said they were actively working to clarify what happened.

    “The possibility of a malfunction with the interceptor (of the air defence system) is under investigation,” said an army spokesperson.

    Two salvos of missiles were launched at Israel from around 7:30 am (0430 GMT), the Israeli military said.

    Iran has been firing daily missile barrages at Israel for over a week, since a wide-ranging Israeli attack on the Islamic republic’s nuclear installations and military bases triggered war.

    Israel’s sophisticated air defences have intercepted more than 450 missiles along with around 1,000 drones, according to the latest figures from the Israeli military.

    Even still, at least 50 impacts have been officially acknowledged nation-wide with the country’s air defence batteries unable to prevent all of the strikes.

    Iran’s armed forces said Sunday’s barrage targeted multiple sites in Israel including Ben Gurion airport near Tel Aviv, and relied on some of their most sophisticated long-range missiles with “devastating warhead power”.

  • Iran says US decided to ‘blow up’ diplomacy with strikes

    Iran says US decided to ‘blow up’ diplomacy with strikes

    Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Sunday the United States and Israel “decided to blow up” diplomacy when they launched strikes on his country’s nuclear sites.

    In a post on X, Araghchi said Israel blew up negotiations between Tehran and Washington with its strikes on June 13, while the United States did the same to talks with European powers this week with its strikes on Sunday. Addressing European calls for Iran to return to negotiations, he asked “how can Iran return to something it never left”.

  • Israel Iran Conflict: Tehran confronts Trump with toughest choice yet

    Israel Iran Conflict: Tehran confronts Trump with toughest choice yet

    President Donald Trump faces potentially the hardest choice of his time in the White House, as he weighs up whether the United States should join Israel’s bombing campaign against Iran.

    Trump fueled speculation about a US intervention as he dashed back from a G7 summit in Canada, warning Tuesday that the United States could kill Iran’s supreme leader, but would not “for now.”

    The choice is a monumental one for a president who has vowed throughout both his first and second terms in the Oval Office to get the United States out of its “forever wars” in the Middle East.

    “It’s a major political and military choice that could define his legacy in the Middle East,” Behnam Ben Taleblu, director of the Iran program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, told AFP.

    As Trump met his National Security Council in the White House Situation Room on Tuesday, there were already hints that he was considering abandoning what was until recently his preferred diplomatic route.

    The most likely option under consideration by Trump would be the use of giant US “bunker-buster” bombs against Iran’s deeply buried Fordow nuclear facility that Israel’s bombs could not reach.

    US officials said dismantling Iran’s nuclear program — which Western countries say Tehran is using to seek a nuclear weapon — remained Trump’s priority.

    – Fluid situation –

    Trump also implied that the assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is back on the table, just days after a US official said he had waved off such a move by Israel.

    US officials stressed that Trump had not yet made a decision and was keeping all options on the table, with the situation fluid and changing “hourly.”

    The Axios news site said Trump was even considering a new meeting between his top negotiator Steve Witkoff and Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi.

    A game-changer however would be any Iranian attack on US forces in the region, with an official saying that Trump would not tolerate a “hair on the back of an American” being harmed.

    Trump’s change of tone is remarkable for coming less than a week after the US president — who has openly talked about wanting to win the Nobel Peace Prize — called on Israel to avoid strikes.

    But amid frequent phone calls with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and Netanyahu’s own hints about pursuing regime change in Iran, Trump has pivoted.

    Trump has ordered the USS Nimitz aircraft carrier to the region along with a number of US military aircraft, raising questions about whether he will act.

    – ‘Decisions on your shoulders’ –

    A further hint that action may be on the cards came from the White House’s apparent efforts to see off any backlash from his own Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement.

    There has been growing opposition to any Iran intervention from the isolationist wing of his base, who hold him to his pledge to keep the United States out of wars like those in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    Vice President JD Vance defended his boss, saying Trump had “earned some trust” on the issue and “may decide he needs to take further action to end Iranian (uranium) enrichment.”

    “Having seen this up close and personal, I can assure you that he is only interested in using the American military to accomplish American people’s goals,” the Iraq veteran said, in a nod to MAGA skeptics.

    Trump himself meanwhile hinted at his mood as he mulled his critical decision.

    He reposted a comment by US ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee, an evangelical Christian, saying God had “spared” Trump from an assassination attempt last year.

    “The decisions on your shoulders I would not want to be made by anyone else. You have many voices speaking to you Sir, but there is only ONE voice that matters. HIS voice,” Huckabee said.

  • Iran armed forces urge evacuation of residents in major Israeli cities

    Iran armed forces urge evacuation of residents in major Israeli cities

    Iran’s armed forces chief of staff Abdolrahim Mousavi urged on Tuesday residents of the major Israeli cities of Haifa and Tel Aviv to evacuate, warning of imminent “punitive” attacks.

    “Punitive operations will be carried out soon,” Mousavi said in a video statement carried by state TV on the fifth day of the deadly confrontation triggered by Israeli air raid on Friday.

    He added that previous attacks on Israel have so far only been for “deterrence” purposes.

    Referring to Israel, Mousavi said that “residents of the occupied territories, especially Tel Aviv and Haifa, are strongly urged to leave these areas for the sake of their lives”.

    Mousavi told Israelis not to “fall victim” to “animalistic desires” of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, which Tehran blames for the escalation.

    After decades of enmity and a prolonged shadow war, Israel launched a surprise attack in the early hours of Friday, saying it was targeting Iran’s nuclear and military facilities.

    So far it has killed at least 224 people in the Islamic republic, including top military commanders, nuclear scientists and civilians.

    Iran has retaliated with barrages of drone and missiles that have killed at least 24 people in Israel, according to the latest figures from the prime minister’s office.

    On Monday, Israel warned residents to leave a northern district of the Iranian capital before striking the headquarters of state television, in an attack the broadcaster said killed three people.

  • How the Israel-Iran conflict could affect energy prices

    How the Israel-Iran conflict could affect energy prices

    Israel’s strikes on Iran, and Iran’s response, initially caused an shudder on global financial markets.

    The price of oil in particular surged, but after a weekend of missile and drone strikes between the two countries the cost of crude has fallen back.

    Nevertheless, oil prices are $10 higher than they were a month ago and there are renewed fears increased energy costs could make everything – from petrol and food to holidays – becoming more expensive.

    That is what happened after Russia invaded Ukraine three years ago, affecting people’s lives around the globe.

    How much have oil prices risen?

    The attacks prompted an instant reaction on the markets.

    Brent Crude – the main international benchmark – rose to over $78 a barrel on Friday. Since then, it has fallen back to about $74.50, but it is still $10 higher than it was this time last month.

    The price of oil rises and falls all the time in response to big geopolitical events, and the state of the global economy, so it is not a surprise to see oil prices reacting to the Israel-Iran conflict.

    However, the price is far below where it was a year earlier. It is also well below the peaks seen in 2022 following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, when it spiked to nearly $130 a barrel.

    So will petrol and other prices go up?

    When the wholesale oil price goes up, many people notice it first when it leads to higher petrol prices.

    But more expensive energy also feeds through to higher prices for almost everything, from farming to manufacturing.

    When it comes to food, higher energy costs can lead to higher prices on the shelf in many ways. It can make it more expensive to run farm machinery, to transport produce, and to process and package food.

    However, that will only happen if energy prices stay high for a sustained period.

    Even with petrol and diesel, rising crude prices only have a limited impact.

    “A rough rule of thumb is a $10 rise in the oil price would add about 7p to the price at the pump,” says David Oxley at Capital Economics.

    However, this is not just an oil story, he cautions.

    Many will remember the shock to prices that followed the beginning of the Ukraine conflict. That was in large part a response to higher gas prices, Mr Oxley says.

    Many of us heat our homes with gas, and in the UK electricity prices are also set in relation to the gas price.

    Gas prices have also risen after last week’s attacks. But the impact will feed through to households only slowly, if at all, says Mr Oxley, given the way the market works, including the role of the regulator, in capping prices.

    Could oil prices rise higher?

    The current situation is “very significant and concerning”, says Richard Bronze head of geopolitics at consultancy and research firm Energy Aspects.

    But that doesn’t mean it will turn out to have as big an impact as the Ukraine conflict, or even previous troubles in the Middle East.

    The main questions are how long Israel and Iran remain locked in this conflict, whether other countries in the region are drawn in, and whether the US steps in to de-escalate the situation.

    Above all it depends on whether we see actual disruption to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, the waterway off Iran’s southern coast, which is the route to global markets for about a fifth of the world’s oil production.

    “It’s a narrow choke point so it is a significant weak spot for global oil markets,” says Mr Bronze.

    That remains an unlikely scenario, but Iran has threatened it in the past and it is now marginally more likely than it was just a few days ago. And that outside risk is part of what is driving up prices, he says.

    Without interruption to shipping, oil prices are not likely to stay high.

    In 2022, following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, there was growing demand for energy as the global economy reopened after Covid.

    Now the global economy is facing tougher times, and oil producers from Saudi Arabia to Brazil have the capacity to increase oil supply which would help lower prices.

    What does it mean for the global economy?

    The scale of any energy price rises, and the wider impact, will depend on the magnitude of what comes next in the conflict between Israel and Iran.

    But it does have the potential to be “a bad shock for the global economy at a bad time” says Mohammed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at asset manager Allianz.

    “Whichever way you look at it, it’s negative short-term, it’s negative longer-term.

    “It’s another shock to the stability of the US-led global economic order at a time when there were already a lot of questions.”

    Capital Economics calculates that if oil prices were to return to over $100 a barrel that could add 1% to inflation in advanced economies, making life difficult for central banks hoping to bring down interest rates.

    But that’s not the most likely scenario in David Oxley’s view.

    “Instability in the Middle East is nothing new, we’ve seen numerous bouts of it,” he says. “In a week’s time it might have all blown over.”